[SeaDog1]

To All:

I've been tracking Hurricane Earl diligently.
This a DANGEROUS ONE

If it comes close or hits the lower islands of the Bahamas -> IT WILL HIT the US EAST COAST!

This could be a close repeat of the 1938 hurricane that devistated New England!

This is SERIOUS!
When it starts its turn to the North it can very possibly pick up foward speed as the 1938 Hurricane did at a forward speed of 70 miles per hour.
That turned out to be a DOUBLE HAMMER HIT with winds exceeding 180 mph and making landfall at 70 mph. (1938 Hurricane was called the Long Island Express)

I'm talking from a professional position and strongly recommed you take early precautions and be prepared either way!

Water, can foods, spare flashlight and batteries, safety rope, first aid-kit, tape to put across glass windows, and an escape route to higher and stronger shelters.

DON'T BE FOOLISH and think you, family, or friends can't be in DANGER!!!

Be Prepared!
Do everything possible to Stay SAFE!
Best regards,
SeaDog1

[MarkO]

Thanks for the heads up SeaDog. Unfortunately, we are long overdue for one.

[SkeeterRon]

SeaDog,

Please post updates...!
_________________
Sleep...Eat...Fish!!!!! Then do it all over again.

[ploplopfizzfizz]

I bought extra ammo for all my guns so when the looting begins I am ready.
_________________
The King of Long Island Sound.

[SeaDog1]

Hi plop!

Forget the ammo!
Bring up on Goggle the 1938 pictures of the devistation (and of Branford where you are) after the Hurricane!
THERE WAS NOTHING LEFT! Even for looters!

So far, and almost "point for point" the center of Earl is tracking EXACTLY the same course as the 1938 Hurricane.

I overlayed Earls track over the 1938 Hurricane track and they are almost identical.

I was trained to ALWAYS consider the "WORSE CASE SENARIO" and prepare from that accordingly.

This very well could be a REPEAT of 1938 -> And if Not -> Then we might get lucky and dodge the Bullet!

My family lost 2 beautiful beach homes and 2 family members in the 1938 Hurricane!

SeaDog1

[SkeeterRon]

SeaDog,

I received an email from the FD stating to be ready. So far they are calling for winds around 70mph and heavy rains.

We will know more by Thursday.

http://www.weather.com/maps/news/atlstorm7/projectedpath_large.html
_________________
Sleep...Eat...Fish!!!!! Then do it all over again.

[SeaDog1]

Hi All!

Well Earl is still moving NW'ly just outside of the Bahamas.
NOT GOOD!
The more it moves to the West, the more it will definitly go up along the East Coast and cause serious problems!

These storms can take unpredictable turns and vary in intensity!
(1938 Hurricane did this!!!!)
Don't get lulled into a false sense of security by some irresponsible Wx reporting!

BE PREPARED FOR THE WORST Even if we luck out and dodge the Bullet!

SeaDog1

[RobO]

At 8:00 AM the center of Hurricane Earl was located at 24.5 North 71.6 West (Approximately 780 Miles South Southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina). Earl has maximum sustained winds of 125 MPH and is moving to the Northwest at 16 MPH.

The latest forecast from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is predicting that Earl will continue moving to the Northwest today and tonight, passing east of the Bahamas by later tonight. Earl is then forecast to turn north and may impact the outer banks of North Carolina with hurricane force winds very early Friday morning.

After moving just east of the outer banks, Earl is forecast to accelerate to the North Northeast on Friday and brush Southeastern New England Friday evening as a Category II hurricane. However, eastern Connecticut is within the 3-day margin for error for Earl’s track and all interests should continue to monitor Earl closely. If Earl stays on this new forecast track parts of Southeastern New England can expect Tropical Storm force winds, heavy rain and high waves Friday night. Heavy rainfall may cause urban and small stream flooding in Southeastern CT Friday evening. The Department of Emergency Management and Homeland Security will continue to monitor Earl and will issue another update at 11:30 AM this morning.
_________________
I'd rather be fishing, than sitting here in front of this computer,,,

[SeaDog1]

Hi All!

Only "NOW" are the Wx reports informing the public the fact that the movement of Earl will be affected by the Low moving east over Ontario, Canada, the deep northerly swing of the Jet Stream, and the unpredictable interaction of the trough moving toward and over the East Coast.

As a trained mariner and meteorologist -> I saw this possibility 2 days ago!

De Jevue for me!!!!
All these Wx conditions are coming together at the same time.
Almost the same Wx senario I went thru when my ship and crew got caught in the "Perfect Storm" back in Oct. 1991.

Is there a possibility of a repeat of the 1938 Hurricane -> YES

(Google up the track of the 1938 Hurricane and that of Earl -> ALMOST IDENTICAL!)

Again! -> Be Smart and Prepare for the Worst

Best regards,
SeaDog1

[PECo]

My wife has cancelled her business trip down to North Carolina. Thanks, SeaDog1!
_________________
Don't forget to wear sunscreen and don't litter!

[SeaDog1]

Hi All!

Well, for all those interested! -> There are a number of archive documentry videos on YouTube of the 1938 Hurricane.

Just go to YouTube and type in 1938 Hurricane in the search block!

You'll see actual films of the hurricane during and after and the devistation that resulted starting on Long Island all the way to Canada!

Take note of the names of the towns and cities far inland affected by the hurricane!

Earl is still moving in a NNW'ly direction and every hour it moves further west, the more "DANGEROUS" it becomes!

The 1938 films WILL convince you of the "REAL POSSIBLE DANGER"!

I already have all the necessary supplies possible (food, water, batteries, etc.) and in the process of securing loose outside objects from becoming flying debris!

I hope we dodge the Bullet

Best regards,
SeaDog1

[flippy]

We are not getting poopy,

[Bass Addict]

[SeaDog1]

Hi All!

Well, Earl, made the classic turn to the right (NE) last night due to the coriolis effect (spinning) of the earth.

We dodged the Bullet!

Earl is still a dangerous storm at Cat2.
N.C. was lucky and got only wind damage and flooding!
Nantucket and the Cape still will be impacted by Earl.

The hurricane season isn't over (May - Nov.) and more systems are forming off Africa!
So the real possibility is we can go thru this again!
ALWAYS best to be prepared!

On the other hand -> Fishing, right now, could very well be Great!!!
Well at least for today (Friday) -> Sat. into Sun will be a bit windy!

Have a Great Labor Day Weekend!
Best regards,
SeaDog1

[PECo]

But I'm still hoping for some rain and overcast skies. Thanks, SeaDog1!
_________________
Don't forget to wear sunscreen and don't litter!